The fifth-seeded Tommy Paul is set to face Jenson Brooksby in the opening round of the Dallas Open on February 11, 2026. The match will take place at the Ford Center at the Star in Frisco, Texas, as part of the ATP 500 tournament played on hard courts. The event features a prize pool of $2,833,335, with live broadcasts scheduled on the Tennis Channel in the USA, Sky Sports in the UK, and TSN in Canada.
Performance Insights into Tommy Paul and Jenson Brooksby
Tommy Paul enters the Dallas Open after an encouraging start to 2026. Despite an early defeat in Brisbane, he advanced to the semifinals in Adelaide and reached the Round of 16 at the Australian Open. Notably, Paul defeated Thiago Agustin Tirante and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina before falling to Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets, with scores 7-6(6), 6-4, 7-5. He also recently contributed to the United States’ Davis Cup qualifying efforts by securing a straight-sets victory over Hungary’s Zsombor Piros, 7-6(3), 6-3.
In contrast, Jenson Brooksby has experienced a slower start this year, exiting early in both Adelaide and Melbourne. In the Australian Open, he put up a competitive fight but lost to Alexander Bublik 6-4, 6-4, 6-4. Last year, Brooksby showed promise by reaching two ATP finals: he won the Houston title after defeating Frances Tiafoe and finished runner-up in Eastbourne, where Taylor Fritz prevailed 7-5, 6-1 in the final.
History Between Paul and Brooksby
Tommy Paul holds a 3-1 lead in their head-to-head matchups. However, Brooksby took their most recent clash in Houston last year on clay courts, marking a notable win in their rivalry. This sets the stage for a compelling contest on the faster hardcourts of Dallas.
Evaluating Odds and Predictions for the Upcoming Match
While official BetMGM odds are yet to be finalized, analysis indicates a closely contested match. Paul, who often struggles to break through against top-tier opponents despite strong early-round performances, has won four titles over the past six years. Brooksby, meanwhile, demonstrated resilience in key moments last season and needs to capitalize similarly at major tournaments to improve his ATP ranking, currently placing him within the top 45 players worldwide.
Paul will rely on his robust groundstrokes and versatile style, while Brooksby’s strategy will focus on thoughtful shot selection and patience during rallies on the hard surface. Given their recent form and tournament conditions, Paul is favored to edge out Brooksby in a three-set battle, seeking to avenge his prior clay-court loss.
Prediction: Tommy Paul to win after three sets.
Recommended Betting Tips for the Match
1. Expect the match to exceed 20 games, indicating a competitive encounter.
2. Watch for Tommy Paul to serve more than five aces, leveraging his powerful service game on the hard court.
